Friday, November 10, 2006

NFL Week 10 Preview and Picks

Friday A.M. Quickie here.
My Rutgers freak-out here.

No more bye weeks
means a few more chances per week to build on my atrocious picks record this season. Of most intrigue this week? Chargers/Bengals, Chiefs/Dolphins, Saints/Steelers and -- perhaps determining NFC HFA in the playoffs -- Bears/Giants.

Falcons over Browns
: Cure for what ails 'em
Chargers over Bengals
: Cincy fall-off cont'd
Lions over 49ers
: Worst Game of the Week
Ravens over Titans
: VY, meet Ray-Ray
Colts over Bills
: More unbeaten goodness
Dolphins over Chiefs
: Second-half surge?
Vikings over Packers
: Favre INT march cont'd
Pats over Jets
: Beli hates Mangini?
Eagles over Skins
: Skins used up all mojo in W9
Jags over Texans
: Garrard maintains mo'
Broncos over Raiders
: Brady Quinn Watch
Cowboys over Cards
: No napping from T.O.
Saints over Steelers
: "Steelenfreude?"
Seahawks over Rams
: St. Louis reeling
Bears over Giants
: Plaxi-KO'ed?
Panthers over Bucs
: Carolina lurking...

Last Week: 8-6
'06 Season: 71-57

Comments Question: What are your most intriguing storylines and predictions for Sunday's games?

-- D.S.


Steve said...

Actual email sent to Bill Simmons as he tried to put the sports gal down for a 4-10 week last week:

I can't believe you're ripping off your wife on her picks for last week. She was 5-9 not 4-10.

"Here are my picks for Week 9: KC +3; Ravens -3; Giants -13; Titans +10, Packers +4; Saints -1; Cowboys -3; Falcons -5; Bears -13.5; Vikings -5.5; Browns +12.5; Steelers -2; Pats -2.5; Seahawks -8.

Last week: 7-7
Season: 56-53-5 "

Baltimore 26 Cincinnati 20
Kansas City 31 St. Louis 17
New Orleans 31 Tampa Bay 14
San Diego 32 Cleveland 25
Seattle 16 Oakland 0

This is an outrage!

Geoff-Detroit said...

Lions vs. 49ers might be the worst game of year. Ugh. Another week where we get to listen to the networks E-team.

ndyanksfan05 said...

I was starting to get worried as a lot of analysts were taking the g-men over the bears, but now that Dan picked the bears to win its in the bag for the giants.

Ken said...

Not only that, but Opie picked the Bears this morning, so it's in the bag for Big Blue.

Kurt said...

Yeah, I enjoy Dan picking against the Giants, they've won 5 in a row as a result.

Jo Fer said...

I'm on my way to the bank right now to leverage the equity in my house to bet against Favre in Minnesota (Where he's never been good) Minnesota -5.5


On a side note, The Bears / Giants game can't come fast enought for this Bears fan. Probably the highlight of my NFL season.

Watching the vaunted Bears / Seahawks NFC Clash turn into a beatdown was a pleasure to watch. This next NFC Clash will again show that the Bears always beat the shit out of their opponents. It's just a matter of determining if it's the other team or themselves.

Benvious said...

Can anyone explain how the Chiefs have a even line against the Dolphins? The Dolphins are 2-6: the Chiefs have won 3 straight and 5 of their last 6...

Jason said...

Shanny, change your steelers-saints pick. I agree with your call on the game, and my "picking against you in games that are toss ups" strategy has been working great.

Kevin said...


"Favre INT march continued"

What INT march? 2 in 4 games? Sounds more like a comment for Rex Grossman lately.

Also, how do the Vikings get 5.5 points if they could only get 3 against the 49ers?

Steve said...

Reasons why I hate the Packers:

1: Brett Favre's treatment by the media. I hate the way he's fawned over. (Also applies to the Patriots)

2: Even though I'm not anywhere close to Wisconsin I'm once again forced to watch the sucky Packers play this week. Why? Because back in the 80's GM opened a plant here in Fort Wayne and transplanted a bunch of people from the Janesville, WI plant. So the local network thinks everyone here wants to see them. This makes me soooooo angry!

3: Their uniforms are butt-ugly.

That's it for today, go Vikings.

Ma4tt (the 4 is silent) said...

The Steelers will dominate yet another playoff-caliber team, but lose due to committing way too many turnovers.

For reference, see the Bengals game (5 TOs), the Chargers game (2 4th-quarter TOs), the Atlanta game (3 TOs), the Oakland game (even though Oakland isn't "playoff-caliber" - 4 TOs, including 2 returned for TDs), the Denver game (6 TOs, including 4 inside the Denver 10-yard line)...

God, when will this nightmare end?

ndyanksfan05 said...

When you get rid of Big Ben and start playing Charlie Batch - Big Ben is not a good QB unless he hands off the ball 30+ times a game and lets the defense/run game carry him.

ndyanksfan05 said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
ndyanksfan05 said...

His great games last year he went like 11 of 16 for 150 and 0 was a joke.

Unknown said...


I really can't respond.


Big Ben and the Steelers will win another title within 4 years.
I'm perfectly willing to chalk this year up to all his medical issues.
But the man can throw, and throw well. The whole "management QB" or 'less than 25 attempts' bullshit is just that..bullshit.

He should have missed more games due to injury though, so I do think his stubbornness -- and Cowher's willingness to let him play -- has hurt the team.

Jared said...

ND is exactly right.

ndyanksfan05 said...

Sorry bud - that is just the system pittsburg installed (very effectively might i add) - that is why game management QBs who don't turn the ball over and can complete 10 or so passes a game (mostly predicated off of the run game already established) thrive in such a defensive and run game biased system...see Maddux, Tommy - God's gift to quarterbacking until he hurt himself, Ben replaced him and when he got back from injury tried to do too much to regain his starting position and fizzled out...exactly what Ben is doing right now

Anonymous said...

Does anyone consider that maybe Bettis' presence was more important to the Steelers than we think? That maybe the defense had to stack the line a little more when the Bus was in there? Say, around the goalline? Or maybe he was helping Rothlisberger in other ways?

I don't know, I'm just saying.

nyc-steelers fan said...

There are a hell of a lot of reasons that the steelers haven't played as well this year as the last two; the turnovers are certainly not all Ben's fault (My heart skips a beat every tie the ball is any where close to Santonio Holmes, who needs to carry a football around with him everywhere he goes...), though some are.

And for idyots like NDYanksfan, who think that Ben's 15-20 pass attempts indicate that he is a sucky QB, in the first place, when you are up by over 14, you milk the clock; you do that by running the ball. Cowher knows it.

And second, if the team calls 15 pass attempts and you hit 11, AND you throw for over 150 yds, it means you are throwing the ball down the field, with accuracy. Over 10 yds/passing attempt is beyond awesome!

But last week, they get in a 14 pt whole, and are playing catch-up the whole game (and Cowher's not stupid, like some coaches in the game, to think anything less than a 14 pt deficit before the 4th quarter is any time to play catch-up), and Ben wings over 400 yds passing (with two killer fumbles inside the opposition 5 yd line). Not excusing his interceptions down there either. But if those fumbles aren't made, and turned into TDs instead, Pittsburgh completes an awesome comeback. But they got shit luck this year.

So anyway, what rafael said. Keep wishing the gint's had taken roethlisberger over manning, who's only 1/2 as good, and that brady quinn can be a 1/4 as good when he's playing sundays...